| TCK smut and
Karnal bunt barely register a bite on U.S. wheat acreage
and production, but are bad dogs that bark loudly in the
export market. It is the perceptibility of these two
fungal diseases in U.S. wheat, not actual infections,
that may be blamed for economic losses, largely in lost
sales opportunities and testing, containment, and
processing costs. On
the other hand, Fusarium head blight, or scab, has been a
more tangible disease. Yield and quality losses from
scab, and its toxic byproduct, vomitoxin, have devastated
half of the six major U.S. wheat classes and have plagued
the U.S. malt barley industry during the 1990s.
TCK
Smut
TCK smut is a fungal
disease that is found primarily in the Pacific Northwest
states of Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. It is not new;
for many years, the disease has been a minor production
problem but a huge export problem, primarily with China,
which has long banned imports of wheat with TCK smut with
a zero tolerance policy. TCK poses no risk to human
health, and many in the U.S. grain industry say China
uses the issue merely as a trade barrier. The Chinese
maintain that TCK is not present in China and that
extraordinary steps are needed to protect the domestic
wheat crop, no matter how infinitesimal the outside risk.
China has used TCK in the
past to negotiate a price discount with exporters, but
created a fervor last July by using the issue (and
vomitoxin in soft red winter wheat) to reject U.S. wheat
shipments. U.S. wheat and barley insiders say price was
the real issue; TCK was a ploy to reschedule shipments of
U.S. grain at a cheaper price. The strategy apparently
worked: the TCK issue with China last July was a factor
in shooting the wheat price down at that time to lows not
seen since last January.
"TCK has locked us
out of the Chinese market. They wont lift any wheat
out of Portland, including hard red spring wheat, because
of TCK, even though it would be $3 to $10 a ton cheaper
for them to do so, rather than going through the Gulf.
Theres no way to guess how much business weve
lost because of this issue, but its been
sizeable," says Tom Mick, CEO of the Washington
Wheat Commission.
Karnal
bunt
Karnal bunt (Kb), a
fungal disease which can affect wheat, including durum
(but not barley, oats, or rye), caused the greatest
shake-up of fungal diseases in wheat this year. The
disease is caused by a smut fungus and spread by spores.
Kb poses no threat to human health, but infected grain
will yield slightly less, and quality becomes affected.
The disease, first
reported in 1931, near the city of Karnal, India (hence
the name) has since been found in other countries,
including Pakistan, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Mexico. Kb was
officially detected in the United States for the first
time last March, although industry insiders say Kb spores
were likely present in the Southwest U.S. years before
then.
To prevent the spread of
Kb into noninfected areas of the United States, and to
protect the integrity of the U.S. wheat export market
(valued at $4.9 billion in fiscal year 1995) the
USDAs Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service
(APHIS) issued an emergency federal quarantine on the
entire state of Arizona, and several counties in New
Mexico, Texas, and California.
Kb detections were
isolated even in the quarantine area, which as Gregg
Doud, of U.S. Wheat Associates points out, represented
less than ½ of 1 percent of U.S. wheat production:
Texas: Tests of
wheat from two quarantined Texas counties turned up
negative.
California: positive
fields represented less than 3% of the total acreage in
the quarantine area (3,389 acres out of a total of
129,956, or 69 fields out of 2,326.) Total planted wheat
acreage in California this year was 780,000.
New Mexico: fields
known to have been planted with contaminated wheat
amounted to a little over 3,200 acres in 4 New Mexico
counties, according to Natalie Goldberg, New Mexico State
University extension plant pathologist. Overall, 470,000
acres of wheat were planted in New Mexico in 1996.
Arizona: 4% of
fields tested positive with one or more spores in the
samples, says Ken Boyd, with the AZ Dept. of Agriculture,
and over 80% of the diseased fields were concentrated in
one part of one county in a state that produces wheat in
six counties.
And thus far, in a
national survey of grain handling facilities, over 50%
complete at the end of October, 1996, there have been
only four confirmed positive detections of Kb spores in
samples outside the original quarantine area thus
farone in California and three in Alabama (note:
the discovery of spores does not mean that Karnal bunt is
established; certain conditions are needed for the spores
to trigger the fungus).
On Nov. 4, revised Kb
regulations went into effect, based on the amount of Kb
risk in two distinct boundary areas in the Southwest U.S.
Restricted areas:
include fields which tested positive for Kb in 1996.
Wheat from restricted areas must test negative twice,
then may be moved under a limited permit to approved
milling or storage facilities, and is subject to
safeguard and sanitation conditions.
Surveillance areas:
fields on the fringe where wheat did not test positive
for Kb, but were associated with contaminated seed or
equipment. After testing negative for Kb twice, wheat
from surveillance areas may be certified for export or
unrestricted movement to domestic markets.
On the export front, USDA
and the U.S. wheat industry have been successful in
working with most wheat importing countries to develop
new export certificate language, to accept wheat from
areas of the United States where Kb is not known to
occur. Without the current USDA Animal and Plant Health
Inspection Service (APHIS) specification on export
certificates, which assures that wheat shipments
originated from a Kb-free area of the U.S., "we
would have an export problem, just like Chinese with
TCK," says Neal Fisher, deputy administrator of the
North Dakota Wheat Commission.
Scab
and Vomitoxin
Its estimated that
wheat growers in N.D. have lost well over $1 billion to
scab in the 1990s, and wheat and barley growers in
Minnesota, about $1.2 billion.
Scab affected the
Northern Plains in 1996 for the fourth year running, and
durum growers were particularly stung by the disease.
"Scab in durum ranged from 5 percent to 90 percent,
depending on the field. There was a lot of scab in durum
north of Highway 2, and from Minot east to Devils Lake.
Its getting to the point where we dont want
rain in July," says Richard Haugeberg, with the U.S.
Durum Growers Association, who farms near Max, N.D.
A better overall growing
season masked the yield effect of scab in the Red River
Valley, says Bruce Hamnes, vice chair of the Minnesota
Wheat Research and Promotion Council, Stephen, Minn.
"Yields in the 40s should have been 10 to 15 bushels
better," he says.
Vomitoxin, scabs
toxic by-product, was prevalent in barley on both sides
of the Minnesota-North Dakota border, causing price
discounts and knocking many growers out of the malting
barley market.
Scab and vomitoxin were
significant problems this year in the soft red winter
wheat growing area, which includes Ohio, Illinois,
Indiana, Arkansas, and Kentucky. Michigans ag
director said that "wet weather and warm
temperatures have created the worst outbreak of wheat
scab in that state in 100 years." It was the second
major scab outbreak for the SRW growing area in the
1990s, with the previous occurrence in 1991.
SRW market discounts in
many cases were even more heavy-handed than the 1993 scab
outbreak in the Northern Plains. Vomitoxin in milled
flour cannot exceed one part per million, according to
guidelines set by the Food and Drug Administration.
Illinois miller Rick Siemer says dockage for vomitoxin
was as much as $1.50 per bushel early in the SRW harvest,
leveling to 50 cents per bushel as the harvest progressed
and panic on managing infected grain eased.
Some highly infected SRW
didnt even qualify for a bid, according to Pro
Farmer News, and ended up in landfills.
Vomitoxin
Major Trade Problem
Another element to the
vomitoxin problem in SRW in 1996 was the Chicago futures
market. Vomitoxin in wheat delivered against futures
contracts is a gray area in trading at the Chicago Board
of Trade.
In a July 23, 1996 letter
to USDA Secretary Dan Glickman, CBOT Chairman Patrick
Arbor said that "it is possible that the CBOTs
delivery warehouses could become a dumping ground for
wheat with high levels of vomitoxin, since it would be
anticipated that such wheat would be used for delivery
purposes. If this happens, the pricing structure of the
CBOTs wheat futures market could potentially become
distorted, resulting in reduced hedging effectiveness and
loss of liquidity."
Arbor continued that
"the CBOT urges USDA to quickly provide
clarification on what level of vomitoxin, if any, causes
wheat to be considered unmerchantable, or to not meet the
requirements for U.S. Number 2 Soft Red Winter Wheat.
Quick and decisive action will help ensure the continued
viability of the CBOTs wheat futures contract and
the entire U.S . wheat industry as a source of safe and
reliable wheat and wheat products."
The issue remains
unresolved, says CBOT spokesperson Deborah Kostroun.
Vomitoxin can indeed
lower the value of spring wheat, and uncertainty about it
in the marketplace lowers the value further, according to
a 1995 NDSU study. Vomitoxin price discounts at N.D.
grain elevators in 1993 reduced the income of N.D.
farmers by $86 million. Some of that figure was caused by
actual vomitoxin; some by uncertainty about vomitoxin
levels. Unknown or variable quality means more risk for
grain buyers.
"One of the major
concerns thats raised by foreign grain buyers is
the lack of uniformity in performance, or what is
sometimes referred to as lack of consistency," says
William Wilson, one of the NDSU study authors. "And
a major challenge to the people in the grain marketing
system, from breeders and farmers through the entire
system, is to create a more uniform product."
The NDSU study revealed
that increasing variability of quality factors not only
decreases the value of the crop, but can disrupt normal
trade flow patterns. In 1993, for example, some exporters
on the Pacific Coast did not specify vomitoxin quality
standards in their contracts, but the milling market in
Minneapolis did. As a result, much of the scab-infected
wheat in eastern N.D. went west to the Pacific, and much
of the scab-free wheat in western N.D. went east to
Minneapolisopposite the usual shipping flow.
Top
Post-GATT Priority:
Disease Tolerances With
more countries (such as China with TCK) using stringent
quality standards as trade barriers, phytosanitary or
grain quality issues figure to be high on the agenda of
the World Trade Organization (WTO), successor to the
General Agreement for Tariffs and Trade (GATT) as the
vehicle to address post-GATT global trade issues.
Karen Fegley, director of
the Wheat Export Trade Education Committee, says that
sanitary/phytosanitary (SPS) barriers to trade, along
with state trading enterprises (wheat boards) remain as
unfinished business of the Uruguay Round.
Indeed, although better
testing, control, and treatment methods may help manage
some diseases and toxins, more likely solutions for
answering problems such as TCK and Kb lie in trade
negotiations and reasonable, uniform phytosanitary
regulations.
Former U.S. Trade
Representative Mickey Kantor has carried his stand on TCK
and China to his new job as U.S. Commerce Secretary, and
continues to seek elimination of the 24-year old barrier
to U.S. wheat.
And, the USDA is
increasing its resources devoted to SPS issues. "In
the near term, commodity groups would like to see
high-level, centralized oversight of SPS disputes as they
arise. With time and experience, the ag organizations
would like to see the U.S. lead the way in the
establishment of a risk-assessment framework and a
standard dispute settlement procedure for review and
possible adoption by the international community,"
says Fegley.
Just as Congress fixed
the Delaney Clauses unreasonable zero tolerance
stand on pesticide residues, adjusting SPS zero
tolerances will be an issue that U.S. commodity groups
will want U.S. trade officials to bring to the WTO.
"SPS issues
represent the new frontier in trade," says Fegley.
"There is a lot to learn about how the world and the
U.S. can best respond to the handling of these measures
and their effect on trade flows and competition. So far,
the wheat industry is learning by crisis management.
There is hope that lessons learned well can be applied in
a manner satisfactory to U.S. producers who are
increasingly dependent on access to foreign markets for
their income."
Answer
To Scab Lies In Research
While TCK and Kb are
political issues that need to be resolved at the
negotiating table, the solution to scab looks to be the
laboratory.
Most crop scientists
agree that long-term scab solutions lie squarely in
research and crop breeding; in developing new resistant
varieties. Otherwise, weather will have each succeeding
wheat and barley crops growing on pins and needles.
"We shouldnt be afraid of a two-inch
rain," says Roger Jones, University of Minnesota
extension plant pathologist.
Jim Miller, vice
president of government affairs with the National
Association of Wheat Growers, says wheat diseases must be
made a national priority. "Fungal diseases are
affecting every wheat growing area of the country. TCK
smut, Karnal bunt, and scab are diseases which differ in
many ways, but the bottom line is that theyre
impacting wheat prices. We need to find ways to address
them."
Miller agrees that better
tolerances for wheat diseases are needed on the trade
side. For producers in the short-term, he says the change
in the Delaney Clause may expand fungicide options for
disease control, and treatment allowances under some
existing fungicides.
Longer term, Miller says
the timing is good for the NAWG and affiliated state
associations to organize a wheat-industry task force or
coalition to urge that Congress make scab a national
research priority.
"I think its
doable, and a coalition would be the vehicle to create a
ground swell to get it done. Including agribusiness,
chemical companies, and others in the industry, this
would be a powerful force, and I believe this could be a
project that can draw support," says Miller.
One ally in such an
effort may include the Millers National Federation.
Jim Bair, vice president of the MNF, says mycotoxin
research is a top priority for millers; particularly DON,
or vomitoxin.
At the NAWGs summer
meeting in Sun Valley, Idaho, Bair said that "we
believe it is misguided to spend precious funds on Karnal
bunt when it has no human health effects, and is of very
little importance to growers, relative to the many other
pests that they face," Bair says. "MNF wishes
to pursue a partnership with wheat growers on mycotoxin
research, especially DON, which is a known health
hazard."
Miller says a national
scab research task force would need to eye the Fiscal
Year 1998 federal budget for scab research funding
support. Or, urge that existing funds within the USDA-Ag
Research Service be redirected from less critical
research projects.
Making
Scab A Federal Priority
Federal funding support
for scab research will be a challenge, as agricultural
research overall has not been a priority on Capitol Hill.
Since 1980, real ag
research spending has grown by a mere $100 million,
according to a recent Kiplinger report on the subject.
The federal ag research budget was about $1.36 billion in
fiscal year 1996, which when adjusted for inflation, was
$50 million less than in FY 95.
Future ag research
funding will face a tough litmus test in the federal
budget deficit. And, the Kiplinger editors point out that
not only will there be federal funding competition from
other research areas, such as defense and health, but
competition for bites within the ag research slice of the
pie itself: sustainable ag vying with large-scale
commercial farming for research funding; production ag
vying with forestry, gardening, and rural living; basic
science (studying how things work) versus applied science
(finding ways to use or apply basic science findings).
The biggest slice of the
federal budget for research and development (R&D)
goes for national defense. In 1994, the federal
government spent $66.5 billion for R&D, of which 57%
was for defense. Of the non-defense federal R&D
budget, the largest share went for health research at
37%; followed by science and space at 32%. The federal ag
research budget was 4%, according to USDA.
Despite
agricultures small share of research funding,
scabs growing prominence as a production problem
makes federal attention promising.
Senate Minority Leader
Tom Daschle (D-S.D.), who also serves on the Senate Ag
Committee, says "wheat disease research is essential
to the future of the U.S. wheat industry, especially with
the problems we have seen over the past few years with
diseases such as Karnal bunt and wheat scab."
Three steps must be taken
to address these problems, says Daschle: Congress must
reauthorize agricultural research programs which expire
in 1998. Further, Congress must provide adequate funding.
"And finally, members of Congress from wheat-growing
regions need to work with wheat producers and their
organizations to ensure that wheat disease research ranks
high in federal research priorities," he says.
"USDA is starting to
look at it," says Albert Schneiter, chair of
NDSUs plant sciences department. "The fact
that the SRW area got hit makes this more of a national
thing rather than regional. Its more than a
Minnesota-North Dakota problem."
Indeed, NDSU extension
plant pathologist Marcia McMullen, says her counterpart
in Ohio has estimated the losses due to scab this year in
that state: 1.3 million acres were affected, with an
estimated loss of $72.5 million.
"Part of the problem
for us in a major corn and soybean area is that its
difficult to get people to concentrate on wheat. More
recognition of the importance of small grains here is
needed, but the epidemics of scab are bringing it to the
forefront," says Walker Kirby, crop scientist at the
University of Illinois, Urbana.
The U of Ms Roger
Jones points out that even Kansas was affected with 8%
scab infections statewide in 1991. For a big
wheat-producing state like Kansas, "8% is a bunch of
wheat," he says.
McMullen says about 1
million acres in north east and north central ND were
impacted by scab this year, with an average of 30-40%
yield loss in durum on those acres, and 5-10% yield loss
in HRS wheat, plus severe vomitoxin discounts in barley.
"So, we have big economic losses, and with wide
regions of the country impacted, it is of national
concern," she says.
There is precedence for
federally-earmarked research projects, confined to more
narrow geographic ranges, says McMullen. One example is
the jointed goat grass management project, and Russian
Wheat Aphid funding.
NDSU crop researcher Len
Francl has a $100,000 grant through the National Research
Initiative Competitive Grants Program to study the
epidemiology of leaf diseases of wheat.
However, only a small
portion of this grant, $16,000, was designated for scab
research. Aside from that, and a separate USDA special
project funded for barley genome mapping, "to the
best of our knowledge in the plant pathology department,
no other NRI (competitive grant) money has been received
at NDSU for scab research," says McMullen.
"I think that
because weeds and insects are more readily seen, they
sometimes get more attention, but the overall impact of
these two pests, jointed goatgrass and Russian wheat
aphid, cannot begin to match that of the scab disease,
within a given year or over a geographic area," she
says.
"I believe that the
NAWG, and the state associations, have to be vocal and
urge funding for scab research, in order for any federal
support to be realized," says McMullen.
Phil Larson, associate
dean at the U of M college of ag agrees, that it will
take "a delegation of producers to go to the
USDA-ARS program leader to make a plea." Larson
points out that Minnesotas head wheat breeder (Bob
Busch) and head barley breeder (Don Rasmusson) will both
retire at the end of this decade. "We need to think
about that," he says.
Jones says that in
addition to a direct allocation out of USDAs
existing budget for ag research, another federal funding
mechanism might be funding support for the North Central
Regional Committee, or NCR-184.
The Committee includes
representatives from land grant universities in 10 North
Central states, from Ohio to North Dakota. Pat Lipps from
Ohio State is current committee chair, and U of M plant
pathologist Ruth Dill-Macky serves as vice chair.
Committee advisor is Bob Todd, NDSU experiment stations
director.
Jones says the North
Central Committee first met at the 1994 Regional Scab
Forum in Fargo. Like other regional research-based
committees, the North Central Committee in its infancy
could not qualify for any funding beyond an annual
meeting. However, the Committee is now at a point where
it may qualify for federally-funded research projects.
Being a funded committee
would essentially give federal teeth to the Committee in
planning and researching the scab problem. Like other
crop scientists, Jones says "this is the kind of
action" that may be keyed by state wheat
associations and the NAWG. Wheat growers can give weight
to the effort through their 1997 state and national
resolutions, he says.
Jerry Kruger, Warren, who
has served on the boards of the Minnesota Wheat Research
and Promotion Council and the Minnesota Association of
Wheat Growers, is one of several Minnesota wheat growers
strong on research, who suggest that a "National
Spring Wheat Disease Resistance/Tolerance Program"
be created.
Or even that the USDA-ARS
Cereal Rust Lab in St. Paul be widened in scope and
renamed, to perhaps the "National Wheat Disease
Center."
Kruger says a strong scab
research initiative has been developed in the Northern
Plains, but it needs to be advanced to the national
agenda. "Scab is like a thief that robs during the
night. Ive been robbed four times, and its
about time we put it away," says Kruger.
In the 1980s, two major
competitors in international grain marketsCanada
and Australiawere spending almost twice as much as
the U.S. on research relative to the size of their
agricultural economies, says Kruger.
Scab is a wheat disease
that affects trade and production worldwide, says Kruger,
pointing out that the disease has been a decades-long
problem in China; has caused problems in Europe and
Canada, and most recently, has become worrisome in
Argentina.
"As growers,
weve paid our dues to scab. With less volume and
food safety a concern, now is the time for the general
population to get involved," Kruger says.
The sentiment for public
ag research support is echoed by David Frey,
administrator of the Kansas Wheat Commission. The
so-called "green revolution" of the 1960s and
70s was mostly funded by public money, he points out, and
if that green revolution is to be sustained, public
funding support for wheat breeding must continue.
"Farmers require new
kinds of wheat seed to stay ahead of new diseases and
wheat pests. World population growth demands higher
yielding crops grown on the same size land area."
Frey says that the bulk
of wheat breeding support will have to come from public,
not commercial sources. Even development of seed sold by
private companies relies on genetic material from federal
and state-supported wheat breeding. Further, he says the
long-term, sustained effort required for developing
better varieties is not attractive to private investors.
"Research is the
only way to secure future production of wheat, the most
consumed food in the world," Frey says.
"Federal wheat research should be a security issue
and a priority for bolstered U.S. government investment
in light of increased population and environmental
pressures. Federally-funded wheat research is not a farm
issue; in fact, it doesnt even involve payments to
farmers. The issue is food."
|