Issue 71
Prairie Grains

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Prairie Grains is the official publication of the Minnesota Association of Wheat Growers, North Dakota Grain Growers Association, Montana Grain Growers Association and South Dakota Wheat, Inc.

Copyright Prairie Grains Magazine
Marketing Guide 2005

A Look at Who’s Been Buying Your Wheat

U.S. wheat exports in 2004/05 (ending May 31; the 2005/06 wheat marketing year began June 1) were estimated at 28.58 million metric ton, about 2 MMT higher than initial forecasts.

The top ten importing countries for all U.S. wheat in 2004/05 were: 1) Japan, 3.1 MMT; 2) Mexico, 2.7 MMT; 3) Nigeria, 2.5 MMT; 4) China, 2 MMT; 5) Egypt, 1.9 MMT; 6) Philippines, 1.79 MMT; 7) South Korea, 1.3 MMT; 8) Taiwan, 971 TMT; 9) Italy, 762 TMT; and 10) Colombia, 743 TMT.

The following graphs, with data courtesy of the North Dakota Wheat Commission, illustrate the top buyers of hard red spring wheat and durum in 2004/05 and the past five years, as well as top buyers by global region over the past decade.

The U.S. exported $6.62 billion worth of wheat and wheat products in federal fiscal year 2004, which was a 5-year high, according to the USDA-ERS. However, it appears that the U.S. will face strong export competition in 2005/06, including Canada with a higher quality crop expected to be on the way compared to last year; the European Union, which has large stocks and strong production on hand; and the Former Soviet Union, where good production is expected to increase Black Sea exports.

Top 10 Markets for U.S. HRS & Durum (2004-05 Mil. Bu.)

HRS

 

Japan

51.4

Philippines

37.5

China

34.9

Taiwan

21.6

Italy

19.4

Spain

16.3

Venezuela

14.9

South Korea

14.0

Mexico

9.5

Thailand

7.4

DURUM

 

Algeria

10.3

Italy

7.9

Venezuela

2.6

Nigeria

1.5

Rep. S Africa

0.8

Costa Rica

0.8

Dom. Republic

0.6

Cuba

0.6

Chile

0.4

Cyprus

0.2

Top 10 Markets for U.S. HRS & Durum Five-Year Average (MY 00-01 to 04-05 Mil. Bu.)

HRS

 

Japan

48.3

Philippines

27.0

Taiwan

22.3

Italy

18.6

South Korea

13.8

China

12.8

Venezuela

10.3

Spain

9.6

Thailand

6.7

Dom. Republic

5.9

DURUM

 

Italy

13.7

Algeria

8.8

Venezuela

2.4

Tunisia

2.2

Netherlands

0.9

Morocco

0.9

Nigeria

0.8

Dom. Republic

0.8

Costa Rica

0.8

Belgium

0.5

 

 

95/96

96/97

97/98

98/99

99/00

00/01

01/02

02/03

03/04

04/05

U.S. Spring Wheat Export Trends by Global Region 1995-2005

Europe

20.5

27.9

30.7

42.7

38

37.1

35.8

37.6

55

48.4

Africa/Mid East

53.3

46

20.9

19

14

17.8

13

15.7

16

18.9

C. & S. America

87.5

81.3

56

49.3

40

44.5

43.9

65.8

58

68.7

Asia

166.1

137.5

128.2

137.1

129.6

126.9

128.7

136.2

136

172.1

Leading Asian Markets for Spring Wheat

Japan

48.3

45.5

50.3

49.5

48.2

45.3

49.3

47.2

48.3

51.4

Philippines

49.4

42.5

32.1

38.5

37.1

23.2

25.7

31.3

17.4

37.5

Korea

13.4

15.7

13.8

12.3

12.4

14.5

12.8

13.3

14.3

14

Taiwan

17.9

18.2

20.9

19.4

21

24.1

21.1

21.4

23.1

21.6

Thailand

8

4.4

5

6.1

5.3

8

6

5.3

7.1

7.4

Leading European Markets for Spring Wheat

Italy

4.4

7.8

10.7

12.7

15.5

16.8

16.1

15.7

24.8

19.4

Spain

2.5

2

7.9

9.9

8

4.2

6.5

5.9

1.4

16.3

UK

1.5

2.4

3.9

5

3.7

3.3

3.6

3.9

5.9

2.7

Belgium

5.1

4

5.6

11.3

5.7

6.5

6

3.3

2

5.6

Leading W Hemisphere Export Markets for Spring Wheat

Venezuela

14.5

15.3

11.9

12

5.7

6.5

5.1

10.9

14.4

14.9

Dom. Republic

6.6

6.7

8.1

8.4

7

5.6

6.2

6

5

6.7

Costa Rica

4.4

3.3

4.3

2.7

3

2.8

3

3.9

3.6

3.3

Guatemala

4.3

3.2

0.9

0.4

1.5

1.1

1.3

5.3

1.1

1.4

Mexico

5

8.7

0.8

0.08

0.03

2

3.3

6

7.4

9.5

U.S. Durum Export Trends

Europe

8.3

12.9

19.2

15.2

13.9

17.5

28.7

11.1

14

8

Africa/Mid East

17.2

16.4

20.7

14.7

19.9

21

9.5

10.9

15

12.8

C. & S. America

7.5

6.2