Issue 63
Prairie Grains

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Prairie Grains is the official publication of the Minnesota Association of Wheat Growers, North Dakota Grain Growers Association, Montana Grain Growers Association and South Dakota Wheat, Inc.

Copyright Prairie Grains Magazine
Marketing Guide  2004

Tools for the Trade:

Marketing and Risk Management Software, Online Calculators

Ag Decision Maker
Over 160 decision files from Iowa State University to provide information and procedures for analyzing and finding solutions related to crop, livestock, and whole farm decisions, including costs and returns, markets, and machinery. www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm

Ranchers.Net Calculators
Go to www.ranchers.net , click on “calculators” for breakeven worksheets and “software” for free software for beef producers.

AgRisk
AgRisk software predicts the distribution of a farm’s gross revenue at harvest time under different pre-harvest risk management strategies that may involve any combination of crop insurance products and various grain pricing contracts. Available free from The Ohio State University, http://aede.osu.edu/Programs/AgRisk/ .

CropRisk 1.0
A free spreadsheet model from the Minnesota Department of Agriculture that can be downloaded at www.mda.state.mn.us/riskmgmt (under “Resources” right-hand side of the web site) to evaluate any combination of crop insurance and preharvest marketing strategies, using up to five different price and five different yield scenarios.

Crop Sequence Calculator
This free CD-ROM from the USDA-ARS Mandan Northern Great Plains Research Lab helps producers assess crop production options, and calculate the potential returns of ten different crops.  Expected crop prices and loan deficiency payments (LDP) can be input to provide rapid calculations of potential returns. The program contains information to assist producers in evaluating management risks associated with different crop sequences. The program may be requested on the NGPRL web site, www.mandan.ars.usda.gov .

FairRent
This software assists farmers/ranchers in determining what is an affordable price to pay for land rent, including revenue and expense projections for each crop in the plan. It can be found online at www.cffm.umn.edu .

Farm machinery cost calculator
Machinery Link’s online calculator can be used to help determine the ownership and operating cost of over 16 different combines and tractors as well as over 200 different farm implements.  It allows you to simultaneously compare the cost of owning and operating up to two different power units, implements or the combination of a power unit with an implement. Costs are estimated for an average year in the life of the equipment.
www.machinerylink.com/resources/calculator/

Farm Software Downloads

Montana State University offers a wide choice of public domain spreadsheet templates that can be downloaded free to help producers make effective farm and ranch management decisions: www.montana.edu/wwwextec/farmmgt/software.html . One example is COSTPROD, which allows a producer to calculate the cost of production for small grain crops.   Another website, www.farmsoftware.com/ was created by the Canadian Farm Business Management Council to help farmers find software on a wide variety of production topics.

HedgeSim 4.0
This is a computerized simulation program where users practice applying risk management strategies to alternative farming units. The user manages either a grain farm or livestock feeding operation. Various marketing strategies can be implemented over time using cash, futures, and options markets. The user receives reasonable production costs and actual historical daily prices and government reports. Download for $15 at www.ace.uiuc.edu/ofor/hedgesim/hsim4.html .

Interactive Options Pricing Calculator
A joint project of AgriBiz.com and The Office for Futures and Options Research, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, the Interactive Options Pricing Calculator is a tool for estimating the price of agricultural options given required input variables. A database of historical options closes is included to aid in educational applications. It can be found online at www.agribiz.com/cfor/ .

Marketeer
Marketeer is a crop market planning software program jointly developed by the University of Minnesota Center for Farm Financial Management and Country Hedging, Inc.  The software helps producers evaluate various marketing and crop insurance strategies. A trial version can be obtained online at www.cffm.umn.edu .

Risk Calculator 2.1
Developed by Matthew Diersen, risk and business management specialist at South Dakota State University, the Risk Calculator spreadsheet is designed to combine different risk management strategies to see how they affect crop revenue. Harvest-time “what if” scenarios can be conducted. It can be found free online at www.abs.sdstate.edu/ag_econ/ . From menu, go to “MBM Risk Calculator” and click on links.

“Toolshed” Offers Ag Market Info
The Minnesota Association of Wheat Growers created “Toolshed” several years ago as a system for sharing ag-based information over the Internet. It includes regional ag news and weather information, futures and local market prices, local basis charts, Red River Farm Network radio broadcasts and archives, commodity marketing Q&As, LDP information, and industry contacts. Toolshed is available on the web site, www.smallgrains.org .

Marketing & Risk Management Online

 www.grainfarmer.com/grainmarkets.htm -- The Grain Marketing Page— Good links and information about the grains markets

www.solarmatrix.com/chartroom/ -- Historical charts going back to 1960 for beans, corn, wheat, including seasonals (‘71 to current, ‘80 to current, ‘90 to current)

www.grainline.com -- Daily LDP checker, archived LDP rates, income estimator

www.agr.gc.ca/mad-dam/e/index2e.htm   -- Agriculture Canada’s Market Analysis Division grains outlook, including specialty crops

http://futures.tradingcharts.com   -- Free daily, weekly, monthly, and historical grain pricing charts.

www.ndmarketmanager.org/ -- North Dakota Grain Growers Association web site with links to marketing clubs in ND, local cash prices, weather, ndgga info, and pros/cons of various grain contracts.

www.montanamarketmanager.org/ -- Montana Grain Growers Association marketing and risk management web site

www.smallgrains.org -- Website of the Minnesota Association of Wheat Growers and the Minnesota Wheat Research and Promotion Council, with daily news, weather forecasts customized by zip code, regional calendar of events, small grains production library, wheat trade, production, and nutrition facts, wheat research information, Prairie Grains archives, grain market quotes and charts, local elevator charting and basis information, local grain prices and much more.

Universities, Government

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports -- USDA Reports

www.agrisk.umn.edu -- National Ag Risk Education Library, with links to many marketing and crop insurance topics.  Includes specialty crop library and enterprise budget library.

www.econ.iastate.edu/agrisk/ -- Iowa State University Managing Risks and Profits website, including link (“learning modules and software”) to an excellent 15-part educational series on grain marketing and risk management.

www.rma.usda.gov/pubs/rme/fctsht.html -- Scroll down for USDA Risk Management Agency fact sheets on crop insurance alternatives and grain contracts such as hedge-to-arrive, basis, deferred and minimum price.

http://mastermarketer.tamu.edu/ -- Texas A&M Master Marketer Program; see links under “Marketing Club Resources”

www.montana.edu/extensionecon/Marketing/agmarketing.html -- Montana State University Ag Marketing Page, including links to USDA weekly export volume report (a good indicator of how export volume is materializing for the current marketing year) monthly wheat exports by class, and fundamental charts.  Also, online workshops on grain marketing topics.

www.agmanager.info/crops/ -- Kansas State University information on crop marketing, budgets, and policy issues to assist producers in making marketing and management decisions.

www.ag.ndsu.nodak.edu/aginfo/cropmkt/cropmkt.htm -- NDSU Crop Management and Risk Management

www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/SJ_GR850.txt -- Daily USDA National Grain Market Summary

www.aec.msu.edu/agecon/fs2/market/contents.htm -- MSU Agricultural Market Information Virtual Library

www.msu.edu/user/hilker/ -- Grain and livestock price probabilities

www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/ -- University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign site with a wealth of information on marketing and risk management information

http://econ.sdstate.edu/Extension/CMA.htm -- South Dakota State University Commodity Marketing analysis

www.cffm.umn.edu/marketing/ -- U of M Center for Farm Financial Management grain marketing page

Commodity Exchanges

www.mgex.com --
Minneapolis Grain Exchange

www.cbot.com --
Chicago Board of Trade

www.kcbt.com --
Kansas City Board of Trade

www.wce.ca -- Winnipeg Commodity Exchange

Livestock Marketing Links

www.lmic.info/ -- Livestock Marketing Information Center

www.ag.ndsu.nodak.edu/aginfo/lsmkt/livestock.htm -- NDSU Livestock Economics

www.ranchers.net -- See “markets” link – excellent