Issue 57
Prairie Grains

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Prairie Grains is the official publication of the Minnesota Association of Wheat Growers, North Dakota Grain Growers Association, Montana Grain Growers Association and South Dakota Wheat, Inc.

Copyright Prairie Grains Magazine
January 2004

Prairie Ramblings

The SoothSayler’s Picks for Top Ag Trends in 2004

By Tracy Sayler, Prairie Grains Editor
tsayler@prairieagcomm.com

Have your broker commission fees, and call off the séance to beckon Jimmy the Greek’s prognostic spirit from beyond. Armed with the latest Old Farmer’s Almanac and a whole lot of whims, hunches and delusions, here’s my picks for top trends in 2004.

President of the United States

In-the-money pick: George Dubya Bush

At-the-money pick: Wesley Clark

Out-of-the-money pick: Hillary Clinton

Top reason for another breakdown in WTO trade talks

In-the-money pick:   Pesky picketers

At-the-money pick:   France is being an ass again

Out-of-the-money pick: Orion Samuelson and Al Pell trigger mass riot after hallway brawl to get live interview with Fidel Castro

Most affordable farm input

In-the-money pick: Info you pick up from free farm mags like this one

At-the-money pick: Manure spread on fields, family labor

Out-of-the-money pick: Everything else

Key reason for grain prices to skyrocket in ‘04

In-the-money pick: Problems in South America or China

At-the-money pick: El Nino or La Nina

Out-of-the-money pick: Martha Stewart is arrested after cornering the Chicago wheat futures market with more insider trading, but makes bail by hand-knitting sweaters with slogan “He Who Sells What Isn’t His’n, Pays The Price Or Goes To Prison”

Key reason for grain prices to tank in ‘04

In-the-money pick: Problems in South America or China, El Nino or La Nina

At-the-money pick: “Technical correction” or profit taking by those mysterious “funds”

Out-of-the-money pick: Actually, no out-of-the-money pick here; any reason they come up with for grain prices to tank isn’t surprising anymore

Most likely reason to visit local FSA office

In-the-money pick: Make sense of confusing paperwork

At-the-money pick: Happen to be driving by, decide to stop in for free coffee

Out-of-the-money pick: Pick up big fat farm payment that’s making all the farmers rich, at least according to those Environmental Working Group boneheads and their boneheaded web site

Most annoying pests

In-the-money picks (tie): mosquitoes, soybean aphids, wild oats, Canada thistle, PETA, ACLU, Greenpeace, political campaign ads, Rosie O’Donnell

Freak of nature most likely to show up on your farm

In-the-money pick: Herbicide-resistant weeds

At-the-money pick: Two-headed calf or albino farm cat

Out-of-the-money pick: Michael Jackson

Point in crop season where you’ll get major machinery breakdown

In-the-money pick: Peak of planting, and again during peak of harvest.

At-the-money pick: When nearest parts store just ran out of the part you need, so you’ll have to drive 100 miles further to get it

Out-of-the-money pick: Breakdowns? We don’t have no stinking breakdowns!”

Most likely to keep you awake at night during the next growing season

In-the-money pick: Whether to spray and when to spray it

At-the-money pick: Triple bean burrito you stupidly wolfed down after getting in from the field at 10 p.m.

Out-of-the-money pick: “Hmm, what color new combine should I buy with this year’s profit, green, red or silver?”

Most overheard pie-in-the-sky catch-phrase

In-the-money pick: A level playing field for fair trade, not free trade

At-the-money pick: Vote (candidate), he’ll fight for family farmers!

Out-of-the-money pick: Beans in the teens!

Hottest crop production trend

In-the-money pick: No-till, Roundup-Ready

At-the-money pick: Intensive wheat management

Out-of-the-money pick: Actually meeting lender expectations for balance sheet two years in a row

Best farm radio ad claim

In-the-money pick:   “…will save you money, and boost crop yields!”

At-the-money pick:  “…guaranteed not only to increase your crop’s seedbed vigor and performance, but your own seedbed vigor and performance, if you know what we mean!”

Out-of-the-money pick: “…and after this meeting, understanding futures and options will be a snap!”

Most likely farm news headline

In-the-money pick: Weather Stalls Fieldwork

At-the-money pick:  Election Brings Candidates to Farm Country to ‘Milk’ Rural Vote

Out-of-the-money pick: Naysayers Come to Senses, Realize Biotech Food Fears Unfounded.