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Prairie Ramblings
The SoothSayler’s Picks for Top Ag Trends in 2004
By Tracy Sayler, Prairie Grains Editor tsayler@prairieagcomm.com
Have your broker commission fees, and call off the séance to beckon
Jimmy the Greek’s prognostic spirit from beyond. Armed with the latest Old Farmer’s Almanac and a whole lot of whims, hunches and delusions, here’s my picks for top trends in 2004.
President of the United States
In-the-money pick: George Dubya Bush
At-the-money pick: Wesley Clark
Out-of-the-money pick: Hillary Clinton
Top reason for another breakdown in WTO trade talks
In-the-money pick: Pesky picketers
At-the-money pick: France is being an ass again
Out-of-the-money pick: Orion Samuelson and Al Pell trigger mass riot after hallway brawl to get live interview with Fidel Castro
Most affordable farm input
In-the-money pick: Info you pick up from free farm mags like this one
At-the-money pick: Manure spread on fields, family labor
Out-of-the-money pick: Everything else
Key reason for grain prices to skyrocket in ‘04
In-the-money pick: Problems in South America or China
At-the-money pick: El Nino or La Nina
Out-of-the-money pick: Martha Stewart is arrested after cornering the Chicago wheat futures market with more insider trading, but makes bail by
hand-knitting sweaters with slogan “He Who Sells What Isn’t His’n, Pays The Price Or Goes To Prison”
Key reason for grain prices to tank in ‘04
In-the-money pick: Problems in South America or China, El Nino or La Nina
At-the-money pick: “Technical correction” or profit taking by those mysterious “funds”
Out-of-the-money pick: Actually, no out-of-the-money pick here; any reason they come up with for grain prices to tank isn’t surprising anymore
Most likely reason to visit local FSA office
In-the-money pick: Make sense of confusing paperwork
At-the-money pick: Happen to be driving by, decide to stop in for free coffee
Out-of-the-money pick: Pick up big fat farm payment that’s making all the farmers rich, at least according to those Environmental Working Group boneheads and their boneheaded web site
Most annoying pests
In-the-money picks (tie): mosquitoes, soybean aphids, wild oats, Canada thistle, PETA, ACLU, Greenpeace, political campaign ads, Rosie O’Donnell
Freak of nature most likely to show up on your farm
In-the-money pick: Herbicide-resistant weeds
At-the-money pick: Two-headed calf or albino farm cat
Out-of-the-money pick: Michael Jackson
Point in crop season where you’ll get major machinery breakdown
In-the-money pick: Peak of planting, and again during peak of harvest.
At-the-money pick: When nearest parts store just ran out of the part you need, so you’ll have to drive 100 miles further to get it
Out-of-the-money pick: Breakdowns? We don’t have no stinking breakdowns!”
Most likely to keep you awake at night during the next growing season
In-the-money pick: Whether to spray and when to spray it
At-the-money pick: Triple bean burrito you stupidly wolfed down after getting in from the field at 10 p.m.
Out-of-the-money pick: “Hmm, what color new combine should I buy with this year’s profit, green, red or silver?”
Most overheard pie-in-the-sky catch-phrase
In-the-money pick: A level playing field for fair trade, not free trade
At-the-money pick: Vote (candidate), he’ll fight for family farmers!
Out-of-the-money pick: Beans in the teens!
Hottest crop production trend
In-the-money pick: No-till, Roundup-Ready
At-the-money pick: Intensive wheat management
Out-of-the-money pick: Actually meeting lender expectations for balance sheet two years in a row
Best farm radio ad claim
In-the-money pick: “…will save you money, and boost crop yields!”
At-the-money pick: “…guaranteed not only to increase your crop’s seedbed vigor and performance, but your own seedbed vigor and performance, if you know what we mean!”
Out-of-the-money pick: “…and after this meeting, understanding futures and options will be a snap!”
Most likely farm news headline
In-the-money pick: Weather Stalls Fieldwork
At-the-money pick: Election Brings Candidates to Farm Country to ‘Milk’ Rural Vote
Out-of-the-money pick: Naysayers Come to Senses, Realize Biotech Food Fears Unfounded.
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